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Paper: Subsurface Flow Properties of Flaring Versus Flare-Quiet Active Regions
Volume: 416, Solar-Stellar Dynamos as Revealed by Helio- and Asteroseismology: GONG 2008/SOHO 21
Page: 127
Authors: Ferguson, R.; Komm, R.; Hill, F.; Barnes, G.; Leka K. D.
Abstract: We apply discriminant analysis to 1009 active regions and their subsurface flow parameters, such as vorticity and kinetic helicity density, with the goal of distinguishing between flaring and non-flaring active regions. Flow and flux variables lead to better classification rates than a no-event prediction. The Heidke skill score, which measures the improvement over predicting that no events occur, increases by about 25% and 50% for C- and M-class flares when several subsurface characteristics are included compared to using a single magnetic flux measure.
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